Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 30 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 67.5% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 67 points down, to 0.3% on 14 Nov 2025. $232.71K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 30 Oct 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 | 56.5% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.19K |
| slappy99 | Yes | 829.17 |
| Unfinished-Nursery | Yes | 743.38 |
| Thebaibany | Yes | 683.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between September 25 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/park-sung-jae-in-jail-by-october-31
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 625.74 |
| travegre | Yes | 316.75 |
| wes-bet | Yes | 250.68 |
| Zeug | Yes | 250 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 216 |
| kingdomcome | Yes | 166.97 |
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