Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 4% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 4.5% on 28 Nov 2025 and the low 0.3% on 25 Dec 2025. $17.28K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 37 points · 27 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 4.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 140 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 119 |
| bigmaw | Yes | 118.63 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 71 |
| Yukaii | Yes | 48.96 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 47.4 |
| Kanp | Yes | 45.33 |
| Rlso | Yes | 44.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between October 28, and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/park-sung-jae-in-jail-by-november-30
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