Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.9% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 7 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6.3% on 21 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Mar 2026.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 10:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 3.9% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Pioneer 5D20 | Yes | 5K |
| bettordayz | Yes | 4.51K |
| WwW5555555555555 | Yes | 2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Paradex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Paradex (https://x.com/paradex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paradex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 999.98 |
| Phony-Chorus | Yes | 237.89 |
| emilianrus | Yes | 212.82 |
| partthai | Yes | 207.72 |
| kof23 | Yes | 175 |
| fang1957 | Yes | 80 |
| acal | Yes | 75.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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