Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 109 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 7 Mar 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.2% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.4 points up, to 13% on 25 Nov 2025.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 8:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 9.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bettordayz | Yes | 11.73K |
| Ivory Pioneer 5D20 | Yes | 5K |
| 100xanon | Yes | 2.1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Paradex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Paradex (https://x.com/paradex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paradex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 2K |
| shingcheung | Yes | 152.99 |
| canyonboy | Yes | 142.86 |
| brolyk | Yes | 139.21 |
| acal | Yes | 117.32 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 104.02 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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