Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.9% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 116 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 14.3% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 14.3% on 25 Nov 2025.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 10:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 1.9% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 2K |
| bettordayz | Yes | 1.32K |
| 0xsteamboat | Yes | 999.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Paradex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Paradex (https://x.com/paradex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paradex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 80 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 75 |
| Olka | Yes | 25.22 |
| MannerKno | Yes | 15 |
| Tghsd | No | 5.26 |
| jopeac | No | 4.02 |
| Evador | Yes | 1.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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