Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2025 to 11 Jan 2025, the highest close was 49% on 9 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.4% on 10 Jan 2025. $49.97K traded over the market's life.
184 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 9:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 11 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 49.0% |
| 11 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.12K |
| Ashish007 | Yes | 157.4 |
| 3oRyhUJzt | Yes | 117 |
| wUjdNxp | Yes | 86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the expected acreage burned by the Palisades fire by Friday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-acres-will-palisades-fire-burn-by-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| s78zhPF3 | Yes | 84 |
| gMt5Uw | Yes | 83 |
| TtU0jf4q | Yes | 81 |
| gMRrp7 | Yes | 81 |
| q5rYmL | Yes | 81 |
| az9sIcYxtJ | Yes | 80 |
