Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Feb 2026.
$19.24K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 28, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 27 Feb 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 98.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | No | 640.19 |
| Pure-Homeownership | No | 443 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 165 |
| Caring-Insight | No | 102.25 |
| bjprolo | No | 99.99 |
| rakitit | No | 70.61 |
| Teletubbi | No | 68.67 |
| t189 | No | 50 |
| Cooperative-Attendance | No | 16.67 |
| Jd17000 | No | 12.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a drone, missile, or air strike within the municipality of Kabul by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM Afghanistan Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact within one of the 22 municipal districts of Kabul. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land within the municipality of Kabul or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Pakistani ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pakistan-strikes-kabul-by-february-28
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