Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 17.9% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $2.7K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 3, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–22%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 15.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 17.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Turkomatic | Yes | 279.78 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of P2P's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by P2P will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If P2P (https://x.com/P2Pdotme) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/p2pme-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 5 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 5 |
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