Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.3% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 2.3% on 14 Jan 2026 and the low 0.2% on 16 Jan 2026. $12.52K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 14 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 2.3% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Evador | Yes | 691.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 404 |
| RAMPaulusma | Yes | 290 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 160 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 156 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 152 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 118 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 40 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 31 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Owlto's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Owlto (https://x.com/Owlto_Finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/owlto-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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