The question, the state of play, and how it settles
Facts updated 29d ago
“Overwatch: Canada vs Germany - Game 4 Winner” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Overwatch: Canada vs Germany (BO5) - World Cup Group C”. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Aug 20, 2026. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 3 hourly price points from Aug 18, 2026 to Aug 20, 2026 (Yes between 50.0% and 50.0%). Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Timeline
Event starts
Aug 17, 2026
Trading closed
Aug 20, 2026
Now
Live observation
Event starts
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
28d ago
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
29d ago
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
100.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
Wallets
Top 10 share
Yes / No shares
The provider top-holder sample is currently unavailable.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
0
Wallets
0
Loaded notional
$0
No recent public trade rows loaded.
Field guide
How to read this market
9 stops
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
01
Yes and No prices
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Last observed
Yes 100.0¢ · No 0.0¢
02
Implied probability
Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 20, 12:00 AM
Points
3
Latest close
50.0%
Last bucket
Aug 20, 12:00 AM
Top holdersLargest rows from the capped public top-holder endpoint; not venue-wide open interest.
Top-holder sample unavailable
The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.
Event contextBest-effort grouped event lookup for this market.
Overwatch: Canada vs Germany (BO5) - World Cup Group C
More in this event
Overwatch: Canada vs Germany (BO5) - World Cup Group C
What is the “Overwatch: Canada vs Germany - Game 4 Winner” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Overwatch: Canada vs Germany - Game 4 Winner It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Overwatch: Canada vs Germany (BO5) - World Cup Group C”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 20, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the Overwatch match between Canada and Germany in the World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada win the match against Germany. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany win the match against Canada. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 2:30…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Aug 17, 2026
Trading closedAug 20, 2026
NowLive observation
Outcomes
Canada
100.0¢ · 100.0%
Germany
0.0¢ · 0.0%
Resolution rules
This market refers to the Overwatch match between Canada and Germany in the World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada win the match against Germany.
This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany win the match against Canada.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 20, 12:00 AM
Points
3
Move
0.0 pts
Range
50.0% - 50.0%
Aug 18, 12:00 AM to Aug 20, 12:00 AM
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Yes chance
100.0%
03
24h volume
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
04
Liquidity
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
05
Spread
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
06
Top holders and concentration
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
07
Trade tape
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
08
Price history
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
3 hourly points
50.0% to 50.0% · 0.0 pts
09
Close and resolution
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
Closes
Aug 20, 2026
Uncategorized • 7 linked markets
esportsoverwatchgamessportsuncategorized
This market refers to the Overwatch match between Canada and Germany in the World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada win the match against Germany.
This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany win the match against Canada.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
EvidenceMarket-scoped source, creator, and related-market links.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 20, 12:26 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/ow-can-deu-2026-08-20-game4) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
