Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 82% on 27 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 82% on 27 Jan 2026 and the low 0.3% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 46.5% on 28 Jan 2026. $138.72K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 3 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | 82.0% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Immaculate-Osprey | Yes | 14.81K |
| cyfra | Yes | 1K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 579 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 483 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 370 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 349 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 121 |
| Izx | Yes | 100 |
| itadorii | Yes | 80.6 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Fabric raise on Kaito exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://kaito.ai/capital-launchpad/73ca8145db584058aaa4?projectName=Fabric If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fabric-public-sale-total-commitments
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