
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 14 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 17 Jul 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 14 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 17 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 2.5% on 15 Jul 2026. $13.98K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 6:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 17 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 45.5% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 650 |
| Hostuff | Yes | 325 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 199 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Credible raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Credible sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/credible/fundraise. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-credible-public-sale-on-metadao-20260708134325640
| kokononce | Yes | 125 |
| Ishit | Yes | 101 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
| haike0513 | Yes | 40 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
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