Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 18.5% on 21 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 3.1% on 22 Jan 2026. $16.08K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 21 Jan 2026 – 23 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 18.5% |
| 23 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dfgju | Yes | 1K |
| aymory | Yes | 529.9 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 442 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 251 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 131 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 123 |
| zxcursed121 | Yes | 120 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 108 |
| Expert-Dialect | Yes | 73.4 |
| 9735 | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Sol Raffle raise on SagaPad exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://sagapad.com/project/sol-raffle If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sol-raffle-public-sale-total-commitments
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