Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 88% on 27 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 27 Jan 2026 to 3 Feb 2026, the highest close was 88% on 27 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 36.5% on 30 Jan 2026. $166.85K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 3 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | 88.0% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Immaculate-Osprey | Yes | 8.34K |
| Faint-Forebear | Yes | 2.67K |
| noctiscreed | Yes | 1K |
| DavidGoggins228 | Yes | 668.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Fabric raise on Kaito exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://kaito.ai/capital-launchpad/73ca8145db584058aaa4?projectName=Fabric If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fabric-public-sale-total-commitments
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 556 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 505 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 481 |
| Izx | Yes | 400 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 391 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 371.56 |
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