Analytics
“Over $30M committed to the Linera public sale?” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Total commitments for the Linera public sale on Sonar”. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Sep 16, 2026. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 9 hourly price points from Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 9, 2026 (Yes between 0.3% and 15.0%); 14 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 98.3% of the loaded shares; 17 recent public fills from 8 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Linera raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title at any point before September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official reporting of total commitments for the round by Linera or Sonar, including any live commitments total displayed on the official Linera sale page at https://sale.linera.net/sale and official announcements from Linera or Sonar. Total commitments refers to the gross amount committed to the round, including any oversubscription above the round's cap, and not the final allocated or accepted amount. Commitments are measured in US dollars; figures denominated in USDC will be treated as US dollars at 1:1. If a displayed or officially reported commitments figure exceeds the threshold at any point before September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If no commitment total is verifiable by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market will resolve to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/over-30m-committed-to-the-linera-public-sale
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 600 |
| LonelyScissors | Yes | 200 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| asfdt9 | Yes | 100 |
| Menacing-Revitalization-Anorak | Yes | 55 |
| froglover | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |