Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 91.8% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.4% on 23 Jan 2026 and the low 29% on 26 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 29% on 26 Jan 2026. $381.94K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 26 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 91.8% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| timsay | Yes | 11.49K |
| maywow | Yes | 2K |
| MyLige | Yes | 2K |
| cufitax | Yes | 1.55K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 1K |
| alilili1 | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 364 |
| hypelyfe | Yes | 297.33 |
| kappa-klaus | Yes | 296.94 |
| Paulski | Yes | 274.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Bitway raise on Kaito exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://kaito.ai/capital-launchpad/99cde47ae13b4374a523?projectName=Bitway If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitway-public-sale-total-commitments
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