Over $2B crypto hack value in 2026?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Sep 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$5.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 25, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 25 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.9%. Yes opened at 51% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 156 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 25 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.9% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 29% on 2 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 85.5% on 15 Sep 2026. $5.31K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 25 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Apr 2026	51.0%
25 Sep 2026	96.9%

Same event

Total crypto hack value in 2026?

1>$2BThis market$5.31K traded100.0%
2>$2.5B$3.23K traded97.8%
3>$3B$3.7K traded

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Dr.PNL	No	599.99
sdfsdfsdfsdf2	No	100
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	No	50

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.