Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.8%. Yes opened at 48.8% on 3 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 4 Sep 2026, the price held at 49.2%. $4.7K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 4 Sep 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 48.8% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 49.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| PPMT | Yes | 60 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 50 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20.71 |
| zxcursed121 | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Ethos raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the "total committed" figure displayed on the official Ethos sale page at https://sale.ethos.network. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-ethos-public-sale-on-sonar
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