Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 40% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 16 Mar 2026, the highest close was 62.5% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 40% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 58.5% on 7 Mar 2026.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 6:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 16 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 40.0% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ChetterHummin | No | 999.99 |
| TENETENET | No | 424.1 |
| ShyGuy1 | No | 324.77 |
| wendypeekaboo | No | 300 |
| Fluffy-Standard | No | 287.35 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 100 |
| titoli | No | 100 |
| megaman2126 | No | 89.82 |
| Mufasa33 | No | 75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. This market is over the bingo card for this event. Each square on the bingo card is associated with a Polymarket event on the Oscars. You can find the bingo card here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/oscars-bingo.jpg This market will resolve to "Yes" if any row/column/diagonal of 5 squares on this market's bingo card is completely filled. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For a row to be filled, the event in each square must have occurred, and the associated Polymarket event must have resolved to "Yes". The Free Space is counted as filled by default. A full row can be horizontal, vertical, or diagonal. If the Oscars does not take place by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the resolution of the Polymarket events associated with each square on the bingo card. The specific rules associated with each event can be found below: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-during-the-oscars https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-picture-winner https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-actor-winner https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-oscars-will-sinners-win https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-oscars-will-marty-supreme-win https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-supporting-actress-winner https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-cinematography-winner https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-supporting-actor-winner https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-international-feature-film-winner https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-casting-winner https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-documentary-feature-film-winner https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-oscars-will-one-battle-after-another-win https://polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-original-score-winner https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-oscars-will-sentimental-value-win
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-bingo
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
