Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 4.2% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 67.8% on 3 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 52.1% on 27 Feb 2025. $3.26K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 9:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 4.2% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyDump | Yes | 99.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Optifye.ai (https://www.optifye.ai/) received an upswell of criticism on February 24, when a promotional video they released appeared to advertise software for sweatshop optimization. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Optifye.ai announces a pivot by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A pivot is defined as a large change in the company's core product and business model. Smaller changes, such as a rebranding, will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Optifye.ai, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/optifyeai-pivot-before-april
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