Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.6%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 12 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 96.3% on 5 Mar 2026 and the low 78% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 95% on 3 Mar 2026.
169 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 11:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 12 Feb 2026 – 6 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 81.5% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 95.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bddlove | No | 45.5K |
| Decisive-Jackfruit | No | 17.06K |
| iiiijiijjijiijiiii | No | 5K |
| nbabii | No | 4.5K |
| acal | No | 3.6K |
| Fartard | No | 3.33K |
| johnwithout | No | 3K |
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | No | 3K |
| yangguang0511 | No | 3K |
| Rafivargo | No | 2.01K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opinion's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opinion (https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opinion-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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