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Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 5.5% on 14 Dec 2024 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. $24.19K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 10:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yanx-097 | Yes | 200 |
| baxymeng | Yes | 200 |
| adrianoy | Yes | 0.33 |
| Emerald Falcon 810C | Yes | 0.21 |
| Indigo Voyager E113 | Yes | 0.13 |
| georginaykl | No | 0.07 |
| neverfeesplease | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On August 5, 2024, Elon Musk filed suit against OpenAI and Sam Altman. You can view a copy of the initial filing here: https://regmedia.co.uk/2024/08/05/musk_v_openai.pdf This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Elon Musk has reached a settlement with OpenAI and/or Sam Altman over any portion of the "ELON MUSK vs. SAMUEL ALTMAN, et al." (3:24-cv-04722) case by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-settlement-with-elon-musk-in-2024
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