Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 2.5% on 13 Nov 2025. $14.59K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tender-Trolley | Yes | 2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.02K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 501.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oh Se-hoon spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oh-se-hoon-in-jail-by-november-30
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 123 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 119 |
| daystay | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 97 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 96.97 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 94 |
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