Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$32.4K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 28, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Nov 2025.

$32.36K traded over the market's life.

17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 12:26 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 28 Nov 2025, chart shows 10%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Nov 2025	16.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
anta	Yes	10.02K
smoke1925	Yes	1K
veryuniqusername	Yes	377.04
sniper8888	Yes	305.99
0xRocket666	Yes	150
Damp-Cleft	Yes	122.59
Maniac-031	Yes	106.86
JakeBeez	Yes	60
axxy	Yes	60
dm69	Yes	49.24

10 of 17 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-10-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Resolution source: https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-10-frida