Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.7%. Yes opened at 62% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 8 Mar 2025, the highest close was 62% on 1 Mar 2025 and the lowest 2.3% on 8 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 19.5% on 3 Mar 2025. $7.85K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 7:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 8 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 62.0% |
| 8 Mar 2025 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama (@BarackObama) or Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) posts on X about Ukraine between February 28, 2025 3:00 PM ET, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying post includes any original post, repost, or reply either from Obama or Biden's verified X account that explicitly mentions Ukraine or Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The content or stance of the post does not matter, but vague references without directly naming Ukraine will not count. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/BarackObama and https://x.com/JoeBiden however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/obama-or-biden-tweets-about-ukraine-before-april
| TM.FLOW | No | 0.01 |
| smartmoney.no.smart.no.money | Yes | 0 |
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