Analytics
Resolved Over on 21 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 71.5%. The Over side opened at 42% on 20 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 71.5% on 21 Aug 2024 and the low 42% on 20 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 71.5% on 21 Aug 2024. $54.05K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 22, 5:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Aug 2024 – 21 Aug 2024, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2024 | 42.0% |
| 21 Aug 2024 | 71.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1111Heyheyhey | Under | 150 |
| Made-Up-Hazelnut | Under | 64.52 |
| All-Lane | Under | 50 |
| Coral Scout 31FD | Over | 0.07 |
| oceimwc | Over | 0.02 |
| MALDEMER | Under | 0.02 |
| JasonPapadopoulos | Over | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Over" if Barack Obama's main speech currently scheduled for the second night of the Democratic National Convention (DNC), exceeds 30 minutes in length. If the speech is 30 minutes or less, the market will resolve to "Under." The speech length will be measured from the start of when Obama begins audibly speaking on stage during his speech until he finishes his speech. If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC, this market will resolve to "Under". This market may resolve once Obama has given a speech on the main stage of the DNC. The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/obama-dnc-speech-ou-30-minutes
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