o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Jun 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$12.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 18, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 18 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.9%. Yes opened at 24% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 18 Jun 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35.4% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 16 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 35.4% on 29 Apr 2026. $12.66K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 19, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 18 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Mar 2026	24.0%
18 Jun 2026	21.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
adam1223	Yes	1.9K
AheadoftheMob	Yes	999.98
akko123	Yes	500

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".