Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 96.4% on 18 Jun 2026 and the low 13.5% on 5 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 96.4% on 18 Jun 2026. $100.13K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 19, 7:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 76 points · 11 Mar 2026 – 18 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 25.0% |
| 18 Jun 2026 | 96.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oberejno-lebek-calls | No | 3.65K |
| labistiiia | No | 1K |
| norealtime | No | 1K |
| Keen Raven C548 | No | 796.75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/o1-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Mosses74 | No | 445.27 |
| 4fourHorsemen | No | 250 |
| jkls33333jkljh3845kk3hhhh4444 | No | 203.34 |
| Shocking-Insectarium | No | 159.01 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| RustyScissors | No | 63.63 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
