Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 7 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 7 Apr 2026 to 4 May 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 27% on 3 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 34.5% on 16 Apr 2026. $40.81 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 1:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 7 Apr 2026 – 4 May 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 May 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CajetanCryptoTrading-Hour1 | Yes | 5 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 5 |
| poshposh | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between San Diego Wave FC and Bay FC.
Resolution source: https://www.nwslsoccer.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nwsl-wav-bay-2026-05-03
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