Analytics
Resolved Hiroshima Carp on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Hiroshima Carp at 67.5%. The Tokyo Yakult Swallows side opened at 50.5% on 5 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 14 Oct 2026, the highest close was 59.5% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 25.4% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 25.4% on 28 Sep 2026. $2.01K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 4:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Tokyo Yakult Swallows price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
| Observed | Tokyo Yakult Swallows price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| center.gitlab | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 157.5 |
| ert3434 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 22.5 |
| yry5533 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 22.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 11 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/npb-tok-hir-2026-08-11
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows |
| 20 |
| tyhtru77 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 19.1 |
| 6u6yt6 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 18.6 |
| yeryre434 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 12.3 |
| BrunoFernandez8 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 6 |
| Brave-Stand | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 1.49 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
