Analytics
Resolved Tokyo Yakult Swallows on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Tokyo Yakult Swallows at 45.5%. The Hiroshima Carp side opened at 50% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 54.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the low 49% on 27 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 54.5% on 29 Aug 2026. $536.15 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 1:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Hiroshima Carp price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Hiroshima Carp price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| heatwave0521 | Hiroshima Carp | 244 |
| HomeRunHazard | Hiroshima Carp | 27.48 |
| FlobzzBets | Hiroshima Carp | 7.58 |
| LinnTrader | Hiroshima Carp | 6.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 29 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/npb-hir-tok-2026-08-29
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Sleepy-Cactus | Hiroshima Carp | 6 |
| EVryBet3 | Hiroshima Carp | 5 |
| dwedwd | Hiroshima Carp | 5 |
| triklozoid | Hiroshima Carp | 5 |
