Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 17% on 15 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2025 to 2 May 2025, the highest close was 17% on 15 Apr 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 5.5% on 16 Apr 2025. $15.02K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 15 Apr 2025 – 2 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2025 | 17.0% |
| 2 May 2025 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GayPride | Yes | 1K |
| theamityaff | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine claims a new capture of a North Korean soldier between April 14 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, Ukraine must both capture the soldier and announce their nationality within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korean-soldier-caught-in-ukraine-before-may
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