Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 158 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 50% on 28 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 28 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9% on 29 Jul 2023. $56.33K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 158 points, 28 Jul 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2023 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Voyager F8DA | Yes | 1.33K |
| RemoveBeforeFlight | Yes | 933.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-nuke-by
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