Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 36% on 4 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2023 to 16 Oct 2023, the highest close was 50% on 13 Oct 2023 and the lowest 10% on 15 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 10% on 15 Oct 2023. $389.26 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 4:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 4 Oct 2023 – 16 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2023 | 36.0% |
| 16 Oct 2023 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Z8R0 | No | 1.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between October 3, 12:00 AM ET and October 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-test-by-october-15
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