Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 12.5%. Yes opened at 33% on 14 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2023 to 18 Jul 2023, the highest close was 33% on 14 Jul 2023 and the lowest 12.5% on 18 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 19.5% on 16 Jul 2023. $15.89K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 7:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 14 Jul 2023 – 18 Jul 2023, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2023 | 33.0% |
| 18 Jul 2023 | 12.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amber Falcon 5EBF | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between July 13 and July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-test-by-july-31
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