
Resolved Yes on 21 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74%. Yes opened at 44% on 9 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2023 to 21 Aug 2023, the highest close was 74% on 21 Aug 2023 and the lowest 19.5% on 12 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 64.5% on 18 Aug 2023. $3.05K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 22, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Aug 2023 – 21 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2023 | 44.0% |
| 21 Aug 2023 | 74.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between August 8, 9:00 AM ET and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-test-by-august-31-1
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