Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 29 Dec 2025, the highest close was 100% on 29 Dec 2025 and the lowest 38% on 27 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 62 points up, to 100% on 29 Dec 2025. $11.23K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 30, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 29 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 39.5% |
| 29 Dec 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 311 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 230 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 184 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-launch-by-january-31
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 135 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 110 |
| CoreyTrevor | No | 99.98 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 82 |
| MoranteDeLaPuebla | No | 80 |
| Pleasing-Beanie | No | 33.28 |
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