Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, down 5 points from 22.5% when the market opened on 12 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22.5%.
Draw (Molde FK vs. Fredrikstad FK) ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Molde FK vs. Fredrikstad FK”. Molde FK leads at 70.5%; Fredrikstad FK is at 12.5%.
$42.28 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $39.3K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Well-Made-Birch-Allergist with 42 shares; the largest No position is CAcap with 42.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 4:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 14%–26%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Well-Made-Birch-Allergist | Yes | 42.28 |
| CAcap | No | 42.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nor-mol-ffk-2026-10-25
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