Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 16 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2024 to 2 Oct 2024, the highest close was 8.8% on 29 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Oct 2024. $445.18K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 4:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 16 Aug 2024 – 2 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | 4.5% |
| 2 Oct 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Turbulent-Wound | Yes | 115.44K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.03K |
| jancedancevance | Yes | 10.07K |
| DevonFigures | Yes | 3.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if J.D. Vance and Tim Walz engage in 0 live, publicly-broadcast debates between August 14 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-debates-between-vance-and-walz
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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