Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 45% on 20 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 45% on 20 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 4% on 21 Nov 2024. $546.56K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 20 Nov 2024 – 21 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2024 | 45.0% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.31K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 3.47K |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 68.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no Trump Cabinet nominations are confirmed by the U.S. Senate by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-trump-cabinet-confirmations-in-january
| Yes |
| 9.62 |
| raniop | Yes | 7.86 |
| tamand | Yes | 7.14 |
| sipuog | Yes | 7.14 |
| opramk | Yes | 7.14 |
| derekduncandefi | Yes | 2 |
| a16zclub | Yes | 1.33 |
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