Question 1

What is the “No token launch by March 31” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: No token launch by March 31 It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What day will the Backpack token launch be?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which Backpack launches its governance token. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 23 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 93.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 24, 3:05 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/no-token-launch-by-march-31-273) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.58K	0.0%	$0
Looter22	Yes	1.19K	28.1%	$1.07K	Mar 13, 5:33 AM

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$5.58K
barry89	$1.01
Looter22	$0
leorard	$0
Authentic-Budget	$0
Deafening-Possible	$0
Ardtysrt01	$0
cry.eth2	$0
zeddead	$0
goluis	$0
Visible-Burnout	$0
owednfgm	$0

No token launch by March 31

What day will the Backpack token launch be?

Questions about this market