Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77%. Yes opened at 60% on 31 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2024 to 7 Feb 2024, the highest close was 60% on 31 Jan 2024 and the lowest 15% on 6 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 25.5% on 2 Feb 2024. $122.49K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 31 Jan 2024 – 7 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2024 | 60.0% |
| 7 Feb 2024 | 23.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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Nevada is holding both a Republican Primary and Republican caucus in 2024, and the state party determined only the caucus will decide the delegate allocation. Haley is the only major candidate on the Primary ballot, and Trump is the only major candidate on the Caucus ballot. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins over 50% of the votes cast in the Nevada Republican Primary, currently scheduled for February 6th, 2024. "Votes cast" includes votes for any candidate as well as votes for "None of these candidates". If no such primary takes place in Nevada in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nikki-haley-wins-50-of-the-vote-in-nevada-republican-primary
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