
Resolved Down on 20 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 53%. The Up side opened at 51% on 26 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 17 Dec 2025 and the low 4.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 4.5% on 19 Dec 2025. $7.75K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB · 26 points · 26 Nov 2025 – 20 Dec 2025
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 51.0% |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jjjl | Up | 3.47K |
| crocodilechris | Up | 175.41 |
| 0xRocket666 | Up | 150 |
| tiancs | Up | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Up” if the first official NYSE closing price for Nike (NKE) after the next earnings release is higher than the official NYSE closing price for NKE prior to the earnings release. This market will resolve to “Down” if the official NYSE closing price for Nike (NKE) after the next earnings release is lower than the official NYSE closing price for NKE prior to the earnings release. This market resolves based on the exact timing of the company’s first public release of earnings figures, regardless of whether they appear in a press release, earnings call, SEC filing, or similar. If the earnings figures are released before the close of regular trading hours, the same day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. If the numbers are released after the market has closed, the following day’s closing price will be compared to the most recent prior closing price. The ‘most recent prior closing price’ always refers to the latest regular session close preceding the earnings release. Only official closing prices from regular trading days will be used. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If NKE does not trade at all during the specified regular session, or if the company does not release earnings within 60 calendar days of this market's creation, this market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday), the official closing price published by the NYSE for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the NYSE Historic Prices page (nyse.com), specifically the Close values for NKE.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nike-nke-up-or-down-after-earnings
| Jujubeeee | Up | 28.69 |
| dtyjuk | Up | 25 |
| baiyuan5561 | Up | 22 |
| PBot-7 | Up | 19.18 |
| vbdfnbtrjhrgfreyjtrh | Up | 19 |
| mghtrtr | Up | 17 |
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