Analytics
Resolved Flyers on 4 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Flyers at 56.5%. The Capitals side opened at 50.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 4 Feb 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 57% on 23 Jan 2026. $2.19M traded over the market's life.
506 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Capitals price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 4 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Capitals price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mafi7al | Capitals | 19.03K |
| jgriffith | Capitals | 11.29K |
| deeznuts83 | Capitals | 9.5K |
| roldy | Capitals | 7.96K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-wsh-phi-2026-02-03
| Sociable-Porch | Capitals | 4.69K |
| a3lg | Capitals | 3.33K |
| casnintendo | Capitals | 3.33K |
| statwC00KS | Capitals | 3.11K |
| Rabble99 | Capitals | 3.06K |
| Neigel | Capitals | 3K |
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