Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 27 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 57.5%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 48% on 5 Jan 2026 and the low 29.5% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 32.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $1.01M traded over the market's life.
482 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 31 Dec 2025 – 27 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 42.5% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YT-JuicySlots | Utah | 72K |
| deeznuts83 | Utah | 24K |
| statwC00KS | Utah | 14.64K |
| retiredbettor832548 | Utah | 12K |
| IAmHomelessNow | Utah | 7.5K |
| formidable2458 | Utah | 6.34K |
| Mikeyf27 | Utah | 1.83K |
| casnintendo | Utah | 1.8K |
| Emerald Pioneer 4658 | Utah | 1.5K |
| Azure Maven 8B78 | Utah | 1.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-utah-tb-2026-01-26
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