Analytics
Resolved Kraken on 30 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Kraken at 48.5%. The Maple Leafs side opened at 50.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 30 Jan 2026, the highest close was 64.5% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 42% on 19 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 64.5% on 23 Jan 2026. $819.3K traded over the market's life.
126 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Maple Leafs price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 30 Jan 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Maple Leafs price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YT-JuicySlots | Maple Leafs | 142.57K |
| 212121212121212121212 | Maple Leafs | 61.9K |
| yiyi666 | Maple Leafs | 9K |
| steadyp2 | Maple Leafs | 4.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 29 at 10:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tor-sea-2026-01-29
| hugesportswhale | Maple Leafs | 1.97K |
| BlindOrangutan | Maple Leafs | 1.49K |
| Swift Sphinx 74E6 | Maple Leafs | 1.49K |
| Keen Sphinx 0CA4 | Maple Leafs | 1.47K |
| Ivory Oracle 21A4 | Maple Leafs | 1.44K |
| Rapid Pulse 151F | Maple Leafs | 1.42K |
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