Analytics
Resolved Penguins on 8 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Penguins at 39.5%. The Maple Leafs side opened at 50% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 8 Dec 2024, the highest close was 65% on 7 Dec 2024 and the lowest 50% on 5 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 65% on 7 Dec 2024. $6.55K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Maple Leafs price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 8 Dec 2024, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Maple Leafs price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 50.0% |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paula94 | Maple Leafs | 0.02 |
| brendapatton | Penguins | 0.02 |
| Abandoned-Profile | Penguins | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 7 at 7:00PM ET: If the Toronto Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to “Maple Leafs”. If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”. If the game is not completed by December 14, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tor-pit-2024-12-07
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