Analytics
Resolved Golden Knights on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Golden Knights at 54.5%. Yes opened at 31% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 48% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 23 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 36.5% on 28 Dec 2025. $1.01M traded over the market's life.
201 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 16 Jan 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 31.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Turnaround69 | Maple Leafs | 300.97K |
| c4c4 | Maple Leafs | 22.51K |
| benwyatt | Maple Leafs | 8.28K |
| Saivestor | Maple Leafs | 8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 15 at 9:30PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tor-las-2026-01-15
New to prediction markets?
| LOL-King | Maple Leafs | 6.5K |
| 2L5H7C | Maple Leafs | 3.4K |
| alekisib | Maple Leafs | 3K |
| Decisive-Jackfruit | Maple Leafs | 3K |
| jesusnazaret | Maple Leafs | 3K |
| St-Qc | Maple Leafs | 2.33K |
