Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 62.5%. The Lightning side opened at 50% on 19 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 62.5% on 17 Mar 2026 and the low 50% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 56% on 4 Mar 2026.
125 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 7:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 19 Feb 2026 – 18 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–65%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YT-JuicySlots | Kraken | 125.5K |
| Anointed-Connect | Kraken | 60K |
| Practical-Vase | Kraken | 50.75K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Kraken | 39.17K |
| Wogforce | Kraken | 16.89K |
| fenx0xx | Kraken | 15.31K |
| jizzbucket57 | Kraken | 8K |
| royalestake | Kraken | 7.89K |
| Formal-Cupcake | Kraken | 2.63K |
| predictgeek | Kraken | 1.45K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-sea-2026-03-17
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
