Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 15 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 55.5%. The Lightning side opened at 50% on 9 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 66% on 13 Dec 2024 and the low 50% on 9 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 53.5% on 14 Dec 2024. $14.92K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Dec 2024 – 15 Dec 2024, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2024 | 50.0% |
| 15 Dec 2024 | 55.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Littlekoala | Kraken | 199.98 |
| headach3 | Lightning | 0.08 |
| pparker | Kraken | 0.05 |
| stephanievaughn | Kraken | 0.03 |
| brenda10 | Kraken | 0.03 |
| fryemichael | Kraken | 0.02 |
| lyonslydia | Kraken | 0.02 |
| luke61 | Kraken | 0.02 |
| burgessleah | Lightning | 0.02 |
| davidgray | Lightning | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 14 at 10:00PM ET: If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”. If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”. If the game is not completed by December 21, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-sea-2024-12-14
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